It also enables you to identify factors contributing to default experience in each economic cycle. 2023 Moody's Investors Service, Inc., Moodys Analytics, Inc. and/or their affiliates and licensors. With default data going back to 1920, the Default & Recovery Database (DRD) allows you to look at how default experience varies at different points in the economic cycle. All rights reserved. He holds an undergraduate degree in Economics and Business Administration from the University of Notre Dame and an MBA in Finance, Marketing and International Business from the Stern School of Business at New York University. (183), Insurance Additionally, DRA publishes analytical research reports on topics that are of interest to broader fixed-income markets community.. Chief Compliance OfficerHelene Gurian joined Moodys in 2010 and is the companys Chief Compliance Officer. Previously, Ms Seidman was the founder and managing member of a financial reporting consulting firm that served global financial institutions, law firms and accounting firms. (2), South Africa (18), Colombia (2007) paper, which uses the Moody's hazard rate of default (if the credit rating for a firm is not available, . We also advanced the transition of our banking and insurance solutions to SaaS, deepening and streamlining the ways we support many mid-sized financial institutions. Performance reflects expense reimbursements and/or fee waivers made in 2016, 2019, 2020, 2021 and 2022. Ms Seidman has over 30 years of experience in the accounting profession, serving as a member of the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) from 2003-2013, and as Chairman for approximately the last three years of her term. (2), Cambodia As the pandemic has highlighted the demand for understanding of the complex and interconnected risks facing markets, businesses and economies, Moodys has stepped up to the challenge through its strategy of offering an integrated and holistic perspective on risk for customers. - statistical model . Vice President, Global Tax Scott Kapusta joined Moodys in 2007 and is the companys Head of Global Tax. (6), Puerto Rico Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings are assigned by an entity that is not a NRSRO and, consequently, the rated obligation will not qualify for certain types of treatment under U.S. laws. Before Moodys Analytics was formed in 2008, Mr. Tulenko developed extensive customer experience and held several leadership roles in sales, product development and marketing within Moodys. Prior to joining the Company, Ms. Sullivan served in several roles at Bank of America from 2011 to 2018, where her last position held was Managing Director and Global Banking Controller. Senior Vice President,Risk Management & Chief Audit ExecutiveScott Kenney is Senior Vice President Risk Management and Chief Audit Executive of Moodys Corporation. from The University of California, Berkeley in Political Economies of Industrialized Societies and earned the Chartered Financial Analyst designation. MJKK and MSFJ are credit rating agencies registered with the Japan Financial Services Agency and their registration numbers are FSA Commissioner (Ratings) No. Sharon OuVP-Sr Credit Officer/Mgr/CSRCredit Strategy & Standards Moody's Investors Service, Inc. (9), Tajikistan (2), Venezuela He is a current member of The Clearing House supervisory board and also serves on the board of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. Access Default & Recovery Database, Already subscribed? As a result of holding these positions, Mr. Van Saun brings financial expertise, management experience and experience managing a business in a highly regulated industry both in the U.S. and in Europe. CONTACT OUR EXPERTS solutions covering Global Economy, Sovereigns & Sub-Sovereigns Sectors & Portfolios Companies Macroeconomic scenarios Moody's Analytics Default Report. The bar chart shows how the performance of the Portfolio has varied from year to year. At Moodys, we believe we play an important role in supporting a sustainable future, and that means we must support our people, our communities and our environment.In 2021, we published our inaugural Sustainability Report (available at about.moodys.io/sustainability-reports) highlighting our commitments, initiatives, and achievements.Our greatest asset is our people.We continue to advance our commitment to a diverse and inclusive work environment because we believe that a workforce with an array of backgrounds and experiences greatly contributes to the quality of our opinions, products and services.In 2021, we published multi-year goals for the diversity of our workforce, supported by a range of initiatives and programs that foster inclusion. I would like to acknowledge the many contributions of my fellow board members, and welcome Zig Serafin, CEO of Qualtrics, to the Moodys board. The recovery rate is a risk-adjusted measure to right-size the. Mr. Fauber joined Moodys in 2005 and has held multiple leadership roles at Moodys. (2), European Union (6), Qatar (70), New Zealand (167), Structured Finance The LGD of the obligor's exposures in the cell equals 1.0 minus the average of such prices expressed as a fraction of par; there is exactly one LGD for each default. (2), Bulgaria Before serving as Chief Risk Officer, Mr. Bermudez was Chief Executive Officer of Citigroups Commercial Business Group in North America and Citibank Texas from 2005 to 2007. (8), Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) our global press information hotlines: New York +1-212-553-0376, MOODYS credit rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a debt obligation of the issuer, not on the equity securities of the issuer or any form of security that is available to retail investors.Additional terms for Japan only: Moody's Japan K.K. 23 Dec 2022. Default Trends Global December 2022 Default Report - Excel Data, Default Trends Global: December 2022 Default Report, Structured Finance: November 2022 structured rating transitions, Default Trends Global: Compendium of 2021 corporate defaults, Default Trends - Latin America & Caribbean: Latin American corporate default rate will rise gradually in 2023 as growth stalls, Default Trends Global November 2022 Default Report - Excel Data, Structured Finance - Global : October 2022 structured rating transitions (Jan 2009 - October 2022) - Excel supplement, Structured Finance - Global : October 2022 structured rating transitions (Jan 1993 - October 2022) - Excel supplement, Structured Finance: October 2022 structured rating transitions, Credit Transition Model (CTM) Methodology. The report is available on www.fitchratings.com or by clicking on the link above. Copyright 2023 Moody's Analytics, Inc. and/or its licensors and affiliates. Mr. Serafin joined Qualtrics in October 2016 as Chief Operating Officer. (2), Guinea-Bissau (2), Honduras (6), Burkina Faso 19 Oct 2022 | Moody's Investors Service The speculative-grade corporate default rate will climb to 4.3% next year under our baseline forecast, up from 2.3% in September. Shivani holds an MBA from the Johnson School at Cornell University and a B.Sc. His service as a director also contributes to his focus on corporate governance matters. (2), Namibia She is responsible for the supervision of global regulatory and compliance interactions, the management of regulatory examinations and all centralized compliance functions. (6), Jordan Mr. Kenney reports directly to the Audit Committee of Moodys Board of Directors and reports administratively to Moodys Chief Executive Officer. (649), Infrastructure & Project Finance McDaniel began his career at the Company serving as a ratings analyst and served in numerous capacities at the Company over the past three decades. Calculates the expected distribution of portfolio or tranche losses as a result of either default or rating transitions. She is also a member of the Dell, Zoom and AWS North American Customer Advisory Boards, and sits on the AEA Investors LP Senior Advisory Council. (1), Minnesota Mr. Kapusta started his career in government, where he served as a senior court attorney for the New York State Supreme Court, Appellate Division, Second Department. (1), Colorado Prior to his work at MassMutual, Mark held a range of senior finance leadership roles at Voya Financial (formerly ING U.S.). (10), Hungary (2), Chile Prior to that, from July 2009 to October 2016, Mr. Serafin served as a Corporate Vice President at Microsoft Corporation, a multi-national technology company. (2), Brunei Darussalam Supports risk assessment of specific credit default swaps (CDS), bonds, and loans. Senior Vice President,Chief Strategy OfficerMr. Ms Hill currently serves as a director of NetApp, Inc. (September 2013-present) and Celanese Corporation (July 2015-present).Ms Hill has significant experience in business management and leading engineering and operations organizations. (2), Default Trends Global December 2022 Default Report - Excel Data, Default Trends Global: December 2022 Default Report, Structured Finance: November 2022 structured rating transitions, Default Trends Global: Compendium of 2021 corporate defaults, Default Trends - Latin America & Caribbean: Latin American corporate default rate will rise gradually in 2023 as growth stalls, Default Trends Global November 2022 Default Report - Excel Data, Structured Finance - Global : October 2022 structured rating transitions (Jan 2009 - October 2022) - Excel supplement, Structured Finance - Global : October 2022 structured rating transitions (Jan 1993 - October 2022) - Excel supplement, Structured Finance: October 2022 structured rating transitions. He has served as the Chief Executive Officer of Qualtrics International Inc. (Qualtrics), the leading experience management software provider, since July 2020 and prior to that as President from January 2019 to July 2020. (41), Periodic Reports All rights reserved. Prior to joining Moodys in 1998, Mr. West worked at Bank of America and HSBC in various credit roles. Ba2/BB: This is the next rating down from the highest non-investment grade rating, regarded as speculative. He also managed a global business with a presence in over 100 countries. in economics and history from Amherst College. (1), Delaware To estimate the long term country equity risk premium, I start with a default spread, which I obtain in one of two ways: (1) I use the local currency sovereign rating (from Moody's: www.moodys.com) and estimate the default spread for that rating (based upon traded country bonds) over a default free government bond rate. (1), Nebraska Exposure at default is an estimated value that predicts the amount of loss a bank may experience when a debtor defaults on a loan. Announcement: Moody's appends Belk's Probability of Default rating of Ca-PD with LD designationGlobal Credit Research - 04 Feb 2021New York, February 04, 2021 -- Moody's Investors Service, ("Moody . Moodys seeks to be a compass for our customers by leveraging our rich history and diverse expertise to provide a holistic view of risk and opportunity. 6 These observations became available in the late fall of 2003, after the model was finalized. (1), Connecticut (2), Serbia Swaps ( CDS ), Brunei Darussalam Supports Risk assessment of specific credit default swaps ( CDS,! Governance matters their affiliates and licensors worked at Bank of America and HSBC in credit. 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